Quarterly Business Magazine

Gold Gets Fed Boost After Powell Flags Rate Cut Amid Global Risk

Posted :
Thursday, July 11, 2019

Gold rose for a third day after the Federal Reserve indicated that it’s preparing to cut interest rates for the first time in a decade as the global economy slows.

Bullion is trading above $1,400 an ounce again as investors take note of the Fed’s dovishness, damping doubts over monetary policy easing that arose following stronger-than-expected U.S. payrolls data. Speaking to Congress on Wednesday, Chairman Jerome Powell said June’s jobs report was “great news,” but not enough to tilt the balance because wages weren’t rising fast enough to trigger much inflation.

Exchange-traded funds backed by the precious metal also received a boost, with holdings rising to 2,311.3 tons as of Wednesday, the highest level since 2013.

Gold is trading near a six-year high on the prospect of lower rates, which boost the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets, with geopolitical and trade tensions also spurring demand. Despite a truce between the U.S. and China, Powell stressed downside risks stemming from uncertainties over trade and slowing momentum in some economies. Minutes from the Fed’s June meeting confirmed an inclination among officials to ease policy soon.

“Although there will be a few bumps on the way given the level of skepticism in the first gold rally cycle, we think there will be an even greater rush for gold in the coming weeks and months,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at Vanguard Markets Pte, said in a note. “Gold prices could stay on an upward path as central banks pivot to an easing stance, the U.S. dollar turns gradually weaker with a more dovish Fed and the burden of harmful yielding debt rises.”

Powell is set to continue with his testimony later Thursday, this time before the Senate Banking Committee. Also on investors’ watch list is data on U.S. inflation scheduled for release Thursday.

Spot gold climbed as much as 0.6% and was at $1,422.49 at 10:56 a.m. in London. Bullion hit $1,439.21 on June 25, the highest level since 2013. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index dropped 0.2%.

The recent gains in gold are likely to be sustained with financial market uncertainty and accommodative monetary policy seen supporting gold investment demand over the next six to 12 months, the World Gold Council said in its mid-year outlook report. The U.S. dollar may remain rangebound as trade tensions and lower rates offset continued economic growth.

In other precious metals, spot silver gained 0.4% and platinum rose 0.5%. Palladium was little changed, trading near an all-time high reached in March.

By Ranjeetha Pakiam and Rupert Rowling

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